Also I have a couple ideas for weekly topics to post about, i.e. Monday's I will talk about one thing, while Thursdays I'll talk about another. You get the point. So without further ado, here are my UFC predictions, and check back in tomorrow to read my analysis in case you didn't see the live event. Thanks guys.
UFC 119: Who Ya Got??
So I don't really care too much for the prelims that are gonna air on Spike. Mitrione's biggest win was beating Kimbo and he was also a joke on TUF. Hope Beltran crushes him. I also can't help but burst out laughing every time I see CB Dollaway's face.
With that being said, ON TO THE MAIN CARD!
First up
Jeremy Stephens vs Melvin Guillard
Hoping to see a slugfest in this one. Melvin has the power to put anyone to sleep, but Stephens has good hands to test the susceptible chin of Guillard. At the end of the day I see Melvin walking away with a KO win, 2nd round.
Next up
Evan Dunham vs Sean Sherk
This is Dunham's chance to prove if he's a legit contender or not. Sherk hasn't fought in a long time and will have to shake off some ring rust. It doesn't look too good for Sherk on the feet as Dunham has a profound reach advantage, and also Sherk's wrestling isn't as dominant as it used to be since we've seen mixed martial artists being forced to adapt to the growing talent. Dunham by decision in this one.
Oh great, a rematch
Matt Serra vs Chris Lytle
A rematch of the TUF 4 Finale in which Serra won a very close decision and went on to beat GSP for the title. Since this fight, Lytle has been MUCH more active and is constantly pushing the pace, which has won him several FOTN bonuses. Unfortunately for Lytle, Serra is a technical boxer who may be able to easily counter Lytle's winging punches. Also if Lytle gets in trouble on the feet and tries to take it the ground, Serra is no slouch there, as his BBJ Black Belt will tell you. Serra takes the rematch via a more definitive decision.
Followed by
Ryan Bader vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
So it's been rumored the winner of this bout will be the next opponent for Jon Jones. Bones requested a top 5 opponent, I guess this would fit the bill. I was very excited to see Lil Nog in the UFC, especially after he dismantled Luis Cane, but after that showing against Jason Brilz, you can't not think the guy has lost a step. The only other time he has faced a wrestler of this caliber was Dan Henderson, 5 years ago. If Nog couldn't submit Brilz off his back, I don't see him being able to submit Bader either. Bader takes this via TKO, sorry nog.
And the MAAAIN EVEEENT OFFFF THE EEEEVENING
Frank Mir vs Mirko "Cro Cop" Filipovic
This fight is really hard to predict. Sure, we all know Mirko is gonna go in there, try to keep it on the feet as much as he can and work his hands/feet. But what the hell is Mir gonna do? The obvious thing to say is take Mirko down, grind him down a bit, then submit him. But Mir is becoming more and more confident in his hands, as seen in fights with Big Nog, Carwin(kinda), and Kongo. Frank feels his hands are quicker, his footwork more fluids, and his punches more powerful than ever. I see this fight going very similar to Mir vs Kongo, with Mir pushing the pace early, throwing combos at CroCop before tying him up and attempting a takedown. Once here it's only a matter of time before Frank is able to snatch one of Mirko's limps or his back. I see Mir finishing this in the first round.
The one problem I have with the main event is the winner is left in limbo. If CroCop wins...who does he fight? Kongo(already lost to), Carwin(would destroy CroCop), JDS(Already killed Mirko). A rematch with Nog could be epic. And if Frank wins, all he has ahead of him are rematches. Kongo, Nog, Carwin, Brock? The only person he hasn't fought is Cain.
Well anyways, lemme know what you guys think and who you think will win. Just a refresher, I got Mir, Bader, Serra, Dunham, Guillard. Thanks again everyone.
With that being said, ON TO THE MAIN CARD!
First up
Jeremy Stephens vs Melvin Guillard
Hoping to see a slugfest in this one. Melvin has the power to put anyone to sleep, but Stephens has good hands to test the susceptible chin of Guillard. At the end of the day I see Melvin walking away with a KO win, 2nd round.
Next up
Evan Dunham vs Sean Sherk
This is Dunham's chance to prove if he's a legit contender or not. Sherk hasn't fought in a long time and will have to shake off some ring rust. It doesn't look too good for Sherk on the feet as Dunham has a profound reach advantage, and also Sherk's wrestling isn't as dominant as it used to be since we've seen mixed martial artists being forced to adapt to the growing talent. Dunham by decision in this one.
Oh great, a rematch
Matt Serra vs Chris Lytle
A rematch of the TUF 4 Finale in which Serra won a very close decision and went on to beat GSP for the title. Since this fight, Lytle has been MUCH more active and is constantly pushing the pace, which has won him several FOTN bonuses. Unfortunately for Lytle, Serra is a technical boxer who may be able to easily counter Lytle's winging punches. Also if Lytle gets in trouble on the feet and tries to take it the ground, Serra is no slouch there, as his BBJ Black Belt will tell you. Serra takes the rematch via a more definitive decision.
Followed by
Ryan Bader vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
So it's been rumored the winner of this bout will be the next opponent for Jon Jones. Bones requested a top 5 opponent, I guess this would fit the bill. I was very excited to see Lil Nog in the UFC, especially after he dismantled Luis Cane, but after that showing against Jason Brilz, you can't not think the guy has lost a step. The only other time he has faced a wrestler of this caliber was Dan Henderson, 5 years ago. If Nog couldn't submit Brilz off his back, I don't see him being able to submit Bader either. Bader takes this via TKO, sorry nog.
And the MAAAIN EVEEENT OFFFF THE EEEEVENING
Frank Mir vs Mirko "Cro Cop" Filipovic
This fight is really hard to predict. Sure, we all know Mirko is gonna go in there, try to keep it on the feet as much as he can and work his hands/feet. But what the hell is Mir gonna do? The obvious thing to say is take Mirko down, grind him down a bit, then submit him. But Mir is becoming more and more confident in his hands, as seen in fights with Big Nog, Carwin(kinda), and Kongo. Frank feels his hands are quicker, his footwork more fluids, and his punches more powerful than ever. I see this fight going very similar to Mir vs Kongo, with Mir pushing the pace early, throwing combos at CroCop before tying him up and attempting a takedown. Once here it's only a matter of time before Frank is able to snatch one of Mirko's limps or his back. I see Mir finishing this in the first round.
The one problem I have with the main event is the winner is left in limbo. If CroCop wins...who does he fight? Kongo(already lost to), Carwin(would destroy CroCop), JDS(Already killed Mirko). A rematch with Nog could be epic. And if Frank wins, all he has ahead of him are rematches. Kongo, Nog, Carwin, Brock? The only person he hasn't fought is Cain.
Well anyways, lemme know what you guys think and who you think will win. Just a refresher, I got Mir, Bader, Serra, Dunham, Guillard. Thanks again everyone.
btw I will be writing a more in-depth and comprehensive review of the Town.
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